高清視頻的興起、增強的視頻壓縮標準以及隨后開創(chuàng)的IP視頻監(jiān)控市場的開放標準，這些對于2010年以及未來幾年的視頻監(jiān)控市場意味著什么?

　　最近，全球安防行業(yè)有關視頻監(jiān)控領域的主要供應商召開了一個圓桌會議。會上，代表們主要講述了他們對2010至未來幾年，有關視頻監(jiān)控的最終用戶存儲、銷售商和集成商將會采取什么樣的措施的看法。 以下是關于模擬視頻與IP視頻的討論：

　　模擬視頻已經過時的傳言是不是過分夸張了?

　　Robinson：IP視頻在快速發(fā)展，在這個時候，我們不會看到模擬視頻很快地徹底消亡。雖然基于IP的系統(tǒng)正在成為日益流行的視頻選擇，但它仍然讓許多公司難以合理的跨過模擬視頻到IP視頻的轉變，因為后者存在著如預算緊張，標準未制定和新的支出上的審議的增加等不利因素。模擬視頻實際上和IP視頻也存在聯系，因為已有IP視頻和模擬視頻混合技術方案的使用案例。我們知道很多采用混合策略的公司，這進一步證明了模擬視頻還沒有消亡。

　　Fullerton：我們一直知道，模擬視頻還會存在很長的時間，就好比個人電腦推出后打字機依然存在。該技術預計已是一個夕陽產業(yè)，但已經安裝了壽命為12-15年的模擬視頻將繼續(xù)生存下來。

　　Lazatin:雖然在2009年模擬視頻的銷售明顯放緩，但終端用戶安裝模擬視頻系統(tǒng)可獲得成本優(yōu)勢。這種趨勢是小型到中型的監(jiān)控產品中比較流行，如零售，餐飲，宗教場所等等。模擬視頻的下降速度和IP視頻的增長速度會比預測的慢。

　　Johnston：雖然模擬視頻到IP視頻的轉變速度肯定會越來越快，但2010年不會是IP視頻銷售量超過模擬視頻銷售量的一年。許多用戶，如擁有成千上萬家商店的大型零售商，在模擬視頻技術方面進行了重大的投資。對比起模擬視頻系統(tǒng)，一個熟食店或比薩餅店老板是不會喜歡IP視頻系統(tǒng)的，因為其銷售成本會大幅增加。

　　Piran:模擬視頻系統(tǒng)依然存在，而且通常不會移動直到升級為止，但他們正面臨著緩慢的消亡。雖然模擬視頻系統(tǒng)會繼續(xù)表現的“足夠好”，且在一定程度上能集成到網絡平臺上，但基于IP的視頻系統(tǒng)確實是一種更先進的技術。

　　Gorovici：模擬視頻產品一直會有，但需求會越來越少。IP視頻現在是一個更加受歡迎的技術，且其發(fā)展趨勢肯定是基于網絡的解決方案和應用。

　　Kaplinsky:鑒于企業(yè)IT基礎設施與安防的融合，在未來五年內，模擬視頻很可能在新的系統(tǒng)銷售額中占很小的比例。模擬視頻沒有提供明確的高清升級方案，而更高的分辨率恰恰在安防業(yè)中起著決定性作用。

　　Taylor:模擬視頻還會存在于特定產品的可行性方案里。用戶需要和經銷商以及制造商確定他們安防需要的最佳解決方案，并選擇成本最低的方案。

　　相關人物介紹：

　　EricFullerton：MilestoneSystems首席銷售總監(jiān)

　　GapiLan：On-NetSurveillanceSystems總裁

　　EliGorovici：DVTel總裁兼首席執(zhí)行官

　　EranWachman：Verint公司產品管理副總裁

　　Linsky：ArecontVision總裁

　　MiguelLazatin：索尼高級營銷經理

　　BillTaylor：松下總裁

　　ChrisJohnston：博世公司產品營銷經理

　　MalikRobinson：霍尼韋爾視頻系統(tǒng)銷售總監(jiān)[nextpage]

　　How will video analytics gain traction and become a profitable part of the video surveillance industry in 2010?

　　Taylor: Adoption of video analytics as a security tool is, relatively speaking, in the early stages. As customers see the benefits in these analytic tools, the market will respond. Right now, customers with specific needs will certainly lead the market in their use of video analytics for targeted applications. As time goes on, it will become apparent to the remainder of the market that intelligent video technology can help increase the efficiency and effectiveness of the security staff.

　　Piran: Video analytics are an effective tool in the broader-based environment of a video-based physical security information management (PSIM) system. Linking video analytics events to other components in an overall system - from access control systems to point-of-sale systems - creates a composite alert and can confirm an alarm and provide the operator real-time video. It's a way to improve efficiency and effectiveness while preserving the critical element of human intervention.

　　Kaplinsky: Mainstream deployment of analytics on the edge devices will probably be impeded by the lack of clear standardization of functionality and interfaces for camera-based analytics. Furthermore, many algorithms are computationally expensive causing substantial cost increase of the camera, making deployment unfeasible for camera manufacturers. Analytics will likely remain a niche market for a while, evolving into features in network video recorders (NVRs), where it can be implemented as user-selectable option without affecting system cost.

　　Gorovici: No longer is video analytics the "black magic" that it was just a few short years ago. With all of the gathered field experience and product modifications, it is now a technology that improves surveillance and security performance in installations in which it is deployed. This trend will continue to push intelligence to the edge so that more behaviors can be installed using less central processing power, making the total solution a more affordable proposition.

　　Lazatin: While use of analytics is not prevalent in most security applications, successful deployment in high-risk, high-profile areas, such as airports and stadiums, will ultimately accelerate adoption of video analytics in more common market segments and applications.

　　Fullerton: It's questionable that this will happen in 2010. Video analytics has been the promise of the future for the past half decade; however, no VA companies have proven what an acceptable, sustainable business model would look like - and there's little on the horizon in 2010.

　　Johnston: Analytics won't truly gain traction in the market until integrators and end-users recognize it as a reliable technology. Using features like the ability to perform a forensic search on pre-recorded video can help; technicians can fine tune algorithms to customer specifications during initial system setup instead of making repeated trips to the site to adjust for changing conditions. Dropping price points will also help more end-users make the leap into using analytics.